Yesterday , I did a easy rough calculation about Common Motors to attempt to get at how a lot manufacturing job loss one could attribute to international competition versus automation and productivity increases. Varied commenters objected that my assumptions were too simplistic, notably in neglecting the home content material in foreign autos and the significance of shifts within the supply chain over time.
You may see the rise in imports from a lot less than 1% in the Sixties to about 2% of US GDP within the mid 2000s (until the nice recession hit). The opposite attention-grabbing issue is that consumption of autos (as a fraction of the financial system) began a critical decline in the early 2000s. That is going to complicate the analysis which I’ll take up once more within the next put up.
The odd-looking line in this graph is the one for home consumption of autos and elements as a fraction of GDP; the line begins to drop after 2002, only reversing in 2010. It is odd to me because a graph of US vehicle sales is essentially flat from 2001 to 2007 at between 16 and 17 million automobiles per yr. Reading off Stuart’s graph above, the gross consumption line begins at about 3.7% of GDP in 2001 and drops to around 2.8% in 2007, so roughly a 25% drop. Taking a look at BEA Desk 1.1.5. US GDP rose 36% during that interval.
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Because of Neil and his E’s Autos Flyer distribution (thanks Neil) at the Volksworld Camper and Bus cruise/ present from Guildford to Bournemouth, one more Westfalia Baywindow camper discovered its solution to the unit for a thorough engine checkover. Dave’s 1970 VW T2, now benefits from a leisure battery system, a mains hook up and a working gas gauge which ought to imply that the entire family are stored pleased on those tenting holidays near and far.